Just based on the impressions I've been getting from the way people have been recieving the consoles and what I've seen from the console wars up until now, here's how I imagine things playing out.
The PS3 will pick up console market domination right where the PS2 left off since Sony already has most of the major game developers in their pockets. It may lose a little ground in America due to it's higher price and Microsoft's deep pockets luring a few developers away, but nothing will put a dent in it's control of the Japanese market.
The 360 will get a slight boost in userbase from the casual gamers who are turned off by the PS3's price, and the growing appeal of XBOX Live. But, it will not attract enough key developers from the PS3, and will not make enough gains in users to turn a profit for at least the first 3 years. It will also do marginally better in Japan than the original XBOX, but not well enough to keep releasing it there from having been a complete waste of time.
The Revolution will end up being more gimmick than substance, and will not be able to keep up with the PS3 or 360. I don't think it will even do as well as the Gamecube unless it's still hiding a secret that is well beyond what anyone may have expected. No, another weird controller isn't going to cut it either. Nintendo however, will continue to shine as a developer, only furthing people's confusion as to why they didn't pull a Sega and get out of the console business. The Revolution will likely be the last home console they produce.
I could be wrong of course, but I doubt it. None of the companies have made any significant changes in strategy since the previous console generation, so I seriously doubt they will be able to produce any significant shifts in market control.
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Last edited by __Xzyx987X; September 5th, 2005 at 03:01..